Educational simulator

What does a retirement income cost in gilts?

Choose an income and a horizon. The simulator prices each future payment on the UK index-linked gilt curve and shows how the income can be secured progressively, contribution by contribution.

Illustration only. This tool explains a concept under development. It is not a product, a quote, a forecast or advice. Results rely on market data at a fixed date and on simplifying assumptions listed below.
Start from
In today’s money, paid monthly
Rising with inflation each year
One single purchase, today
Income indexation
Annual income    
Cost if bought today    
Monthly saving needed    
Income secured, then paid Income secured so far Income paid each year
Stress test

What happens if real interest rates move?

Move the slider to shift the whole real yield curve. Compare a pot invested in the Retirement Bond with the same amount held in cash.

Cash pot

Value in pounds

 

Income it can buy

 

Retirement Bond

Value in pounds

 

Income it delivers

 

Immediate repricing of the holding needed for the income above, using the same curve shifted in parallel. In practice, curve moves are not parallel, and replication with a finite set of gilts is not perfect.

How it is calculated

Assumptions

  • Market data. Real yield curve (Nelson–Siegel, continuous compounding) fitted to the yields of the 34 UK index-linked gilts on 5 November 2026. Fixed-increase incomes use the nominal curve: real curve plus Bank of England implied inflation.
  • Payments. Income is paid monthly. Inflation-linked amounts are in today’s money. Fixed-increase amounts are in pounds of the first year of retirement, rising by 3.3% each year.
  • Building up. Each monthly saving buys future income at the price implied by today’s curve. Savings are assumed to start now and stop when income starts.
  • Not included. Fees, taxes and tax relief, employer contributions, transaction costs, replication error and changes in the curve over time.
  • Beyond 2073. The longest index-linked gilt matures in 2073. Payments after that date are priced on the model’s extrapolation, which adds uncertainty for younger savers.
  • Longevity. The income stops at the end of the chosen horizon. It is not a lifetime annuity.
Real yield curve usedZero-coupon real yield by maturity, 5 Nov 2026